Well, thank you everyone. The weather on Saturday promises to be warmer, so perhaps I’ll brave it. I just really didn’t want to have to stop on a 110 mile journey (I can charge at the other end).
I have learned a lot from this and will spend the next month taking readings from the school run which at 25mins will give me the best sense of what’s going on in mi/kWh/h terms, but clearly those first 10mins are exactly the ones not to pay attention to as the car heats up, and it’s the overall picture which matters. I wish I’d had any longer journeys before now to work off, but I hope you understand how a city experience does not give one much confidence when it comes to suddenly doing a long journey! Hence I turned to the forums, and thank you all for your wisdom and knowledge.
Now to take the plunge…
Look, just take the plunge, solo, to put your mind at rest. I have a new Tesla M3 LR , 1 month old and after 1250 miles it is average 3.5m/kwh since 4tn December. So with a 75kwh battery i have a rough range of 263 miles , in winter, and that will be doing 70mph where i can.
Now i did a little experiment on the A5 last week, i got up to 90mph, set cruise and reset the trip meter. Drove 6 miles and the average consumption? 600wh/mile , which is 1.7m/kwh. So i could in theory leave home with 100% SOC, immediately get to 90mph in 7 seconds and could stay at that speed and go 128 miles before stopping with and exhausted battery.
My advice is do a comfortable solo 70mph run up the M11 with climate set how you want it , 20 deg, on a cold day. Leave with 100% SOC pick a destination 100 miles away. and just drive at 70mph where possible. Keep going until you get to only 60% SOC left (40% battery used), then turn around asap at the next junction, and go home at the same speed. In theory you should roughly arrive home with 20% SOC left as a buffer , and would have covered XXX miles. Say 100.
Now you have a base. You can then try again, same journey, but go a little bit further out to 55% SOC (45% used) , then turn around, come home. Again, you should get home with 10% SOC left and now have covered XXX miles (Say 130).
The do it again with max speeds of 65mph and 60 mph, and see how much further you go. Once you have some data, you will have a good idea what you can do in winter. So you can say, ok, leave with 100% , with the family in the car, want to do a 100 mile round like , it's freezing, If i stick to 60 max, or 70m there, and 60 back, I can easily do the whole trip no issues without stopping and should get home with at least 10% SOC as a buffer.
Just my advice. Knowledge is power, and simple range experiiments alone will give you confidence.